Assessing the role of circular economy in provincial low-carbon transitions within China’s pulp and paper industry
Document Type
Research-Article
Journal Name
Energy, Ecology and Environment
Keywords
Carbon emission reduction, Circular economy measures, Low-carbon development, Pulp and paper industry (PPI)
Abstract
Faced with escalating sustainability challenges, China’s pulp and paper industry (PPI) is under pressure to achieve carbon neutrality, as it is one of the top eight carbon-emitting sectors in the national carbon market. Although the adoption of circular economy (CE) principles is considered a key strategy for the PPI’s low-carbon transition, a comprehensive understanding of the specific contributions of CE to CO2 reduction within China’s PPI is currently lacking, including the differences in CO2 reduction potential across various measures and regions. Against this backdrop, an accounting method for the contribution of CE activities in the PPI to CO2 abatement at the industrial level was developed in this study. Building on the current status of CO2 emissions in China’s PPI, we evaluated the CO2 reduction potential under various CE scenarios from 2020 to 2035, considering four CE measures: waste reduction, clean energy substitution, energy efficiency improvement, and waste paper recycling. The results revealed that under a Business-as-Usual (BAU) scenario, CO2 emissions would increase with the expansion of the production scale, rising from 141.5 Mt in 2020 to 213.7 Mt in 2035. Compared with the BAU scenario, CE scenarios could achieve cumulative CO2 reductions ranging from 708.8 to 1697.4 Mt from 2020 to 2035. Clean energy substitution contributes the largest CO2 abatement in both CE-M and CE-G scenarios, with a cumulative emission reduction between 459.2 and 702.7 Mt of CO2. The study also reveals provincial variations in CO2 reduction potential and corresponding strategic approaches within China, with provinces such as Guangdong, Shandong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Fujian provinces showing significant capabilities in emission reduction. The measures proposed in this study, including optimizing the energy consumption framework, enhancing source reduction management, and improving wastepaper recycling efficiency, provide effective pathways for the Chinese PPI to achieve low-carbon and sustainable development, which could also help reduce pollutant emissions, especially water pollutants. © The Joint Center on Global Change and Earth System Science of the University of Maryland and Beijing Normal University 2024.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40974-024-00350-8
Recommended Citation
MENG, Xiaoyan and SU, Liyang
(2025)
"Assessing the role of circular economy in provincial low-carbon transitions within China’s pulp and paper industry,"
Double Helix Methodology: Vol. 6:
Iss.
1, Article 15.
Available at:
https://diis-mips.researchcommons.org/helix-content/vol6/iss1/15